I have three schools of thought on the possibility of WW3. #1 is that the world is so interconnected by trade and business that war is unthinkable. #2 is that North Korea is a nation ruled by an unhinged loose cannon that has already done bizarre ... read more
On average, their answers pointed to a 6.8 percent chance of a catastrophic nuclear war in the next 20 years killing more people than the Second World War (80 million, at upper estimates). The chance of a variety of small wars between major nations, both nuclear and conventional, however, were rather higher. read more