What are the chances that Trump wins New Hampshire?

New Hampshire election results from the 2016 general election. ... Mrs. Clinton has a slight advantage to pick up its four electoral votes. Barack Obama won New Hampshire in 2012 by 5.6 percentage points. Manchester Dover Nashua Concord Manchester Dover Nashua ... read more

New Hampshire in my estimation will determine Trump’s longevity and staying power. If he loses in Iowa, who cares, but if he loses in New Hampshire, watch out that might be the knockout punch, the pinprick that bursts the Trump balloon. read more

This map gives the Republican nominee all of the states Mitt Romney won in 2012, as well as Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Ohio and New Hampshire. Of that group, Iowa and Ohio look like the easiest lifts for Trump, while Colorado and New Hampshire look the toughest. read more

He needs to win -- and seems to be headed toward winning -- in New Hampshire on Tuesday. Then comes South Carolina on Feb. 20, which will almost certainly be a battle among Trump, Ted Cruz and one other more establishment candidate -- most likely Marco Rubio. read more