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What is the El Niño status in 2016?

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It will soon be time to bid good-bye to the strong El Niño of 2015-2016. Forecasters anticipate that sea surface temperatures in the Niño3.4 region will drop below the El Niño threshold (0.5°C above the long-term average) in the late spring or early summer. read more

ENSO Alert System Status: El Niño Watch ENSO-neutral conditions are present.* Equatorial sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are near-to-above average across the east-central Pacific Ocean. ENSO-neutral is favored through Northern Hemisphere summer 2018, with the chance for El Niño increasing to 50% during fall, and ~65% during winter 2018-19. read more

Based on the modek forecats it looks like we will have a stong El Nino for the next month or so followed by a pretty strong decrease in the Nino 3.4 index which usually signals the end of an El Nino event. read more

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