Which countries are likely to influence Libya in the future?

Morocco will probably be a major influence on Libya in the coming decade. Both countries border with the Mediterranean sea, , and having a large and fast growing economy means that that their relationships could grow. Morocco and Libya sign a trade agreement - aoapc. read more

Libya is closer to many European countries like Italy, (who is also its largest trading party)than many African countries. None of the major African economies like Nigeria and South Africa are close, and apart from Morocco, no countries in Africa that are next to (or close to) are expected to develop rapidly. read more

NATO was in part an influence to this. Italy also used to run Libya. Italian colonization of Libya - Wikipedia. Seeing as they only relinquished government in 1947, there as still some people in Libya alive that were alive when Libya was under Italy’s control. Italy is a massive importer of Libya’s petroleum products. read more

Morocco will probably be a major influence on Libya in the coming decade. Both countries border with the Mediterranean sea, , and having a large and fast growing economy means that that their relationships could grow. Morocco and Libya sign a trade agreement - aoapc. Morocco is also suspected to grow rapidly in 2017. read more

Egypt is probably considered the biggest influence in Libya right now. As Libya’s neighbour and one of their biggest trading partners, Egypt has attempted to position itself as an honest broker in negotiations between the different governments in Libya, although they are also the main backer of General Khalifa Haftar, who leads the Libyan National Army. read more

– (c) Jon Mitchell for The Red (Team) Analysis Society By utilizing our methodology to identify scenarios in case of war (a specific instance of the overall way to build scenarios for international and national security issues – Lavoix, “Scenarios and War“, Red (Team) Analysis, December 30, 2013), we determine the main plausible scenarios that might come about, based on Libya’s current civil war status. read more