Prejudice is the failure to refine an initial (often pattern-matched, stereotype-based) judgement in light of actual evidence. read more
A formal fallacy is an error in logic that can be seen in the argument's form. All formal fallacies are specific types of non sequiturs. Appeal to probability – is a statement that takes something for granted because it would probably be the case (or might be the case). read more
It is both a logical fallacy and a common way of thinking that humans need to consciously disabuse themselves of. It means ignoring the underlying statistical likelihood of something being true or false based on observed details that really have little or no bearing on the underlying likelihood. read more